South Carolina vs Florida 10/20/2012

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with South Carolina winning 51% of simulations, and Florida 49% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. South Carolina commits fewer turnovers in 29% of simulations and they go on to win 64% when they take care of the ball. Florida wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Marcus Lattimore is averaging 90 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (36% chance) then he helps his team win 66%. Mike Gillislee is averaging 87 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (29% chance) then he helps his team win 64%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLA -3

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